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Visa Outcomes for Pakistani Applicants: How Many Actually Get Through? (2024–2026)

📅 June 2026 10 min read Gohata Global Research Team 🔗 UK Home Office · Home Affairs AU · EU DG-HOME · ICEF
Visit / tourist visas · Europe, Gulf & Asia

Visit visa outcomes, 2023–2025

Pakistan faces some of the highest visit-visa refusal rates in the world — ~45% across Schengen, and a sharp ~70% refusal for UAE/Dubai after the 2025 tightening. Asian destinations (Malaysia, Georgia, Japan) remain far more open. Switch years to compare.

Country Choose a country to see its visit-visa detail, or keep the overview.
How to read the colours: 70%+ easy 55–70% 45–55% mixed 30–45% under 30% hard

Approval rate by country — 2025

% of Pakistani applications approved · sorted easiest to hardest · 🟢 easy 🟡 mixed 🔴 hard

Visas actually issued — 2025

Volume of visas granted to Pakistani applicants, by destination

All destinations — 2025

Applications, issued, and both rates. Bands: High ≥55% Mid 35–55% Low <35%

#CountryApplicationsIssuedGrant rateRefusal rateBand
Reading the table. Within Europe, Germany leads on both volume and approval (~67%); Spain, France and Austria reject heavily. But the real divide is regional: Asia is far more open — Malaysia and Georgia issue ~80%, Japan ~75% — while the UAE/Dubai collapsed to ~30% issuance in 2025 after a near-freeze on ordinary Pakistani passports (single males under 40 hit hardest, ~20% approval; family ties ~80%). For Schengen, apply to your genuine main-destination country; you can't pick a consulate for better odds.

Three-year trend — leading destinations

Visas issued to Pakistanis, 2023 → 2024 → 2025

Appointment availability for Lahore residents

Indicative ease of securing a slot. Shifts week to week — verify live before booking.

CountryCentre serving LahoreProviderSlot availability
🇳🇱NetherlandsLahore, IslamabadVFS GlobalUsually good
🇬🇷GreeceIslamabadConsulateUsually good
🇵🇱PolandLahore, IslamabadVFS GlobalUsually good
🇭🇺HungaryIslamabadVFS / ConsulateUsually good
🇩🇪GermanyIslamabad (waiting-list)Embassy / TLSModerate
🇮🇹ItalyLahore, Isb, KhiVFS GlobalBooks out fast
🇪🇸SpainLahore, Isb, KhiBLS InternationalBooks out fast
🇫🇷FranceLahore, Isb, KhiVFS / TLSBooks out fast
Lahore note. Lahore has its own VFS Global centre (Gulberg) plus a BLS centre for Spain — no need to travel to Islamabad for most applications. For Italy, Spain and France, slots vanish in minutes; check at midnight–1 AM and on Mondays, when cancellations re-release.

2026 requirements — what changed this year

Operational rules in force as of June 2026.

Fee

€90 adult / €45 child, paid in PKR (~27,000–31,000) plus a VFS/BLS/TLS service fee. All-in ~PKR 35,000–40,000 with insurance. Non-refundable.

EES live (10 Apr 2026)

Biometric entry/exit now replaces passport stamps at all Schengen borders; the 90/180-day limit is tracked automatically.

6-month bank statements

Most consulates now want 6 months (up from 3), ~€50–70 per travel day, consistent balance — avoid large last-minute deposits.

Apostille (since Nov 2024)

Pakistan joined the Hague Apostille Convention — documents are apostilled via MoFA Pakistan, not embassy-legalised.

Sources & method — visit / tourist visas

Schengen (primary, Pakistani applicants): European Commission DG-HOME, Short-stay visa statistics 2024 (the official EU dataset). Pakistan 2024 totals: 78,362 applications, 38,892 issued, 35,139 refused — 44.84% rejection. Germany was the top destination and easiest: 20,570 applications, 14,051 issued, 68.31% approval. Spain refused the most (6,686). Austria was hardest at 83.55% rejection. Schengen fee €90 (from 11 Jun 2024).
USA (primary): US Department of State, Adjusted refusal rate — B-visas by nationality, FY2024 (travel.state.gov): Pakistan 45.65% refusal (≈54% issued). UAE / Dubai: Dawn, The New Arab, ProPakistani (2025) — first-time / single-entry Pakistani rejection ran 70–80% (single males ~20% approval, family ties ~80%), near-freeze on ordinary passports late 2025. Malaysia, Georgia, Japan: eVisa / sector data — ~75–80% issuance.
Labelling: Each country page shows a source badge — green for official Pakistani-specific government data (all Schengen states + US here), blue for sector data (UAE, Malaysia, Georgia, Japan). The EU publishes a clean 2024 by-consulate dataset for Pakistan; 2023/2025 per-country splits are scaled from that official 2024 base (the rates are official, the year-to-year volume split is indicative). The "avg. refusal rate" KPI is volume-weighted across all destinations shown. Full 2025/2026 EU data won't publish until mid-2026/2027. Verify with the consulate before acting.
Student route · UK · Australia · EU · Asia

Student visa outcomes, 2024 – Q1 2026

For Pakistani students the gap between the headline grant rate and the real one is wide — because thousands of applications are withdrawn before a decision and never count against the official refusal figure. This report shows both.

Country Choose a country to see its student-visa detail, or keep the overview.
How to read the colours: 70%+ easy 55–70% 45–55% mixed 30–45% under 30% hard
Two ways to read a grant rate. The official method counts only decided cases: granted ÷ (granted + refused). The honest method treats a withdrawn application as one that did not result in a visa: granted ÷ (granted + refused + withdrawn). For the UK in Q1 2026, that is the difference between 59% and ~42% — because withdrawals nearly equalled refusals.

Grant rate by destination — 2025

Official % approved · sorted easiest to hardest · 🟢 easy 🟡 mixed 🔴 hard

What happens to applications — 2025

Every application splits into 🟢 granted · 🔴 refused · 🟡 withdrawn (% of all applied)

Full outcomes table — 2025

Applied = granted + refused + withdrawn. Two grant rates shown: official, and adjusted (withdrawals counted as non-grants). Bands use the adjusted rate.

#Destination AppliedGrantedRefusedWithdrawn Grant rate
official
Grant rate
incl. withdrawals
Ultimate
refusal
Band

UK — the primary corridor, by period

Pakistani main-applicant grants (official Home Office) and the refusal rate climbing to ~41%.

The withdrawal story — refused vs withdrawn

In Q1 2026, UK student withdrawals overtook refusals for the first time in decades — and Pakistan drove it.

Why this matters. The Home Office excludes withdrawn and lapsed applications from the grant-rate sum. Universities near the 5% refusal-rate compliance limit (BCA / RAG, tightened 1 June 2026) have a direct incentive to withdraw a shaky CAS rather than let it be refused — a withdrawal doesn't count, a refusal does. In Q1 2026 Pakistani applicants were ~43% of all UK student visa withdrawals (ApplyBoard / Home Office), the largest single nationality, driven by January-intake processing delays. The published grant rate flatters the true picture.

🇬🇧 UK — high volume, hidden attrition

Pakistan was the 3rd-largest source of UK grants: 37,013 (YE Jun 2025), easing to 30,781 (YE Dec 2025) — official figures. Refusal rose from ~6% to ~18% across 2025, then ~41% in Q1 2026. Counting withdrawals, the real Q1 success rate was closer to 42%.

🇦🇺 Australia — among the lowest

Overall subclass-500 grant rate 83.1% (2024-25, Home Affairs), but Pakistan sits far below — offshore higher-ed around 57%, one of the lowest of major source countries, after the Genuine Student rule, higher financial thresholds and the AUD 2,000 fee.

🇩🇪 Germany — best EU option

Germany's main barrier is processing time, not refusal — Pakistani grant rate around 70%, the strongest of the EU options here. Publishes no Pakistan-specific student breakdown, so the figure is modelled to its known leniency.

🇲🇾🇯🇵 Malaysia & Japan — the open doors

The most reliable routes for Pakistani students. Malaysia runs ~90% approval through EMGS (university-sponsored, document-driven), Japan ~95% once the Certificate of Eligibility (COE) is issued by the institution. Both are gated by admission, not consular suspicion.

🇬🇪 Georgia — affordable & accessible

Around ~80% success for Pakistani students (sector data), with low tuition and a liberal visa policy. Popular for MBBS and business. Main refusal triggers are weak financials and inconsistent study plans, not nationality.

🇰🇷 South Korea — tightening

D-2 grant rate around ~70% and falling. Korea raised scrutiny in 2025–26 after visa-overstay concerns (1 in 9 student-visa holders in violation by end-2024). Study-plan coherence and TOPIK/IELTS evidence now matter more.

🇫🇷🇮🇹🇪🇸 France, Italy & Spain — tougher than headlines

Published "student refusal" ranges (8–16%) reflect mostly Indian/Western applicants. For Pakistan, the same return-intent and financial scrutiny that drives ~47% Schengen refusal pushes real student grant rates to roughly 50–55%. Treat any 85%+ figure for Pakistan with caution.

🇫🇮🇨🇾 Finland & Cyprus

Finland sits around ~65% for Pakistani students — stricter financial proof than its reputation suggests. Republic of Cyprus private colleges are accessible (~65% grant) but carry a high withdrawal/non-enrolment rate, so the real conversion is lower.

2025–26 policy shifts affecting Pakistani students

Material for client advising.

🇬🇧 Graduate route cut

From Jan 2026, post-study work fell 24 → 18 months. Sponsor compliance tightened (refusal-rate ceiling 10% → 5%); several universities paused Pakistani intake.

🇦🇺 Cost & rules

Fee raised to AUD 2,000. Genuine Student requirement replaced GTE (23 Mar 2024); financial threshold rose (10 May 2024). Lower-risk providers prioritised.

🇫🇷 Campus France gate

Études en France mandatory; antennas in Islamabad, Lahore, Karachi. Visa fee €50. The interview + study-plan coherence is the most common refusal point.

Apostille

Since Nov 2024 academic documents are apostilled via MoFA Pakistan for these destinations rather than embassy-legalised.

Sources & method — student

Primary / government (Pakistani applicants): UK Home Office, Immigration system statistics — "Why do people come to the UK: Study" and entry-clearance tables by nationality, YE Jun/Sep/Dec 2025, gov.uk. US Department of State, F-1 visa refusal data (via ICEF Monitor / Shorelight, 2025). Australian Dept. of Home Affairs, Student & Temporary Graduate program report (June 2025, BR0097). Canada IRCC, study-permit approval data (national, 2024–25). Asia / sector: EMGS (Malaysia ~90%), Study in Japan / COE process (~94%), sector consultants (Georgia ~80%, South Korea D-2 ~72%).
Confirmed (official, Pakistani-specific): UK — Pakistan ~89–93% grant rate (Home Office BCA metric 89%; Q3 2025: 14,384 issued vs 1,132 refused); grants 37,013 (YE Jun 2025) → 30,781 (YE Dec 2025). US — Pakistan F-1 ~71% refusal in 2025 (~29% approval). Australia — Pakistan 5,144 grants 2024-25; offshore subclass-500 ~83%, and per PIE News (May 2026) Pakistan’s Q1 2026 offshore HE refusal was 37% (the lowest among South Asian markets). Ireland — ~90–96% approval for Pakistani students (consultancy data; no official INIS nationality breakdown published).
Honest limits & labelling: Each country's detail page carries a colour-coded source badge: green = official, Pakistani-specific (UK, US); official national rate, not PK-specific (Canada, Australia rate); amber = closest official proxy — for Germany/France/Italy/Spain/Finland/Cyprus, who publish no nationality breakdown for study permits, we show the official EU DG-HOME 2024 Schengen short-stay outcome for Pakistanis as the nearest government figure; blue = industry/sector data (Malaysia, Japan, Georgia, Korea); grey = not officially published (New Zealand — INZ states it does not disclose acceptance rates). Per-period applied and withdrawn counts are modelled to match the documented grant rates and the confirmed Q1 2026 withdrawal surge; they show scale, not exact counts. UK "year-ending" windows overlap (directional, not additive). Verify against the cited source before client use.
 Gohata Global · Market Intelligence · Generated 26 June 2026 · For internal & advisory use